Opinions

No Red Lines: Putin and Lukashenko on the Eve of Zapad-2025
No Red Lines: Putin and Lukashenko on the Eve of Zapad-2025

n September, Belarus and Russia will stage another round of military drills. In an interview with political analyst Alexander Friedman, we assess the stated goals versus the real purpose, the scenarios Moscow may test using Belarusian territory, the pressure tools available to the Kremlin, and the implications for NATO and EU planning - from border incidents and drones to migration and cyber pressure.

Estonia tries to keep up in the drone race
Estonia tries to keep up in the drone race

The war in Ukraine has shown that modern warfare is impossible without the involvement of drones.

Gaza and its expected outcome are generating a geopolitical reset
Gaza and its expected outcome are generating a geopolitical reset

The tragedy in Gaza is forcing the EU, the supporter of a world order based on the morality of international relations, to rethink its policy towards the Middle East.

Russia’s Digital Transformation: From Technological Pride to Instruments of Control
Russia’s Digital Transformation: From Technological Pride to Instruments of Control

The networks, platforms, and services that once promised convenience and openness are now increasingly shaped by state control, geopolitical isolation, and the exodus of skilled talent.

Poland’s new president, Karol Nawrocki, wants to be a player
Poland’s new president, Karol Nawrocki, wants to be a player

Nawrocki’s first statements and acts after he became president suggest that, rather than serving as a ceremonial head of state, he would attempt to establish himself as an alternative center of political power.

INTERVIEW: Sergei Tsikhanouski, the man who defied Lukashenko and spent 5 years in prison
INTERVIEW: Sergei Tsikhanouski, the man who defied Lukashenko and spent 5 years in prison

Released after 5 years in solitary confinement, Sergei Tsikhanouski – husband of opposition leader Svetlana Tsihanouskaya – urges the West to maintain pressure on Minsk and outlines possible scenarios for change in Belarus – from internal collapse to changes in Russia.

Elections in Moldova: Russian pressure, consolidation of the opposition, decline of the pro-Europeans
Elections in Moldova: Russian pressure, consolidation of the opposition, decline of the pro-Europeans

While under hybrid assault from Moscow, the Republic of Moldova is preparing for legislative elections that, like other elections in the past, are considered "crucial." The election will take place in a context where pro-Europeans are declining in popularity and the pro-Russian opposition is gaining strength.

Veridica
15 Aug 2025
Ukrainian MP Goncharenko: Ukraine Will Not Accept Peace at the Cost of Its Territories
Ukrainian MP Goncharenko: Ukraine Will Not Accept Peace at the Cost of Its Territories

Speaking ahead of the planned Trump-Putin meeting in Alaska, Oleksiy Goncharenko outlines Kyiv’s red lines, warns against decisions made without Ukraine, and stresses the need for a united Western position to end the war.

The Drone Era in Eastern Europe: When War’s Shadows Cross the Borders
The Drone Era in Eastern Europe: When War’s Shadows Cross the Borders

Drones straying over Eastern Europe show that the War in Ukraine is no longer a distant spectacle

Migrant pressure on the Latvian-Belarusian border will not ease
Migrant pressure on the Latvian-Belarusian border will not ease

The migrant crisis, part of the hybrid war waged raged by Belarus (and Russia) against the EU.

Ukrainians are not only fighting Russia, but also their own corrupt officials
Ukrainians are not only fighting Russia, but also their own corrupt officials

The protests that took place in Ukraine in July, despite the war, show that the fight against corruption, which is vital for maintaining the European path, remains one of Ukrainians’ key aspirations.

Marin Gherman
01 Aug 2025
The Summer of Bulgaria’s Discontent: What Informs Country’s Latest Protest Wave
The Summer of Bulgaria’s Discontent: What Informs Country’s Latest Protest Wave

Pro-Western protesters are once again taking it to the streets in Bulgaria, targeting the ruling-GERB establishment. Is this a resurgence of the opposition, or its swam song?

When Power Becomes a Trap: The New Reality of Russia’s Political Elite
When Power Becomes a Trap: The New Reality of Russia’s Political Elite

For many years, political loyalty to Putin bought access to wealth, security, and impunity. The war shed these privileges, and those who have fallen from grace can no longer even flee into exile.

Preaching world peace without the levers to implement it
Preaching world peace without the levers to implement it

Is EU’s top diplomat, Kaja Kallas, trying to punch above her weight?

Why Romania is (so far) losing the hybrid war
Why Romania is (so far) losing the hybrid war

There are at least two types of causes. The first is related to Romania's structural deficiencies, making institutions act more or less the same, regardless of the source of the danger, be it internal or external. The second, the easiest to deal with, stems from the specific nature of the relationship with Russia, the country from which the greatest threat to Romanian democracy comes today.

Cosmin Popa
23 Jul 2025
Azerbaijan’s Defiance Show that Russia’s Grip over Its Neighbors Is Waning
Azerbaijan’s Defiance Show that Russia’s Grip over Its Neighbors Is Waning

From the Caucasus to Central Asia and the Baltics, former allies are distancing themselves from Moscow’s orbit, forging new partnerships, and openly challenging the assumptions that once underpinned Russia’s dominance.

Returning from War: Russia’s Looming Challenge of Reintegrating its Veterans
Returning from War: Russia’s Looming Challenge of Reintegrating its Veterans

As the war in Ukraine drags into its third year, a critical question grows increasingly urgent: how will Russia reintegrate the ever increasing number of citizens who return from the front lines or who have become economically dependent on the war effort?

Chisinau Mayor Ion Ceban: pro-European leftist or Russian Trojan horse?
Chisinau Mayor Ion Ceban: pro-European leftist or Russian Trojan horse?

Ceban, banned in Romania, has made anti-EU statements and worked with the pro-Russian leaders Vladimir Voronin and Igor Dodon. He now wants to be the leader of the pro-European opposition, but there are suspicions that he prefers Moscow.

Veridica
10 Jul 2025
Proselytism with a crowbar: Romanians in Chernivtsi caught in the struggle between the Churches of Ukraine
Proselytism with a crowbar: Romanians in Chernivtsi caught in the struggle between the Churches of Ukraine

In Ukraine, the autocephalous church and the Moscow-affiliated church are disputing Romanian parishes. Parishioners, hooligans, (pro-)Russian propaganda, Ukrainian authorities, and Romanian sovereignists have become involved in the conflict.

Alex Craiu
08 Jul 2025
How Ursula von der Leyen was put on the spot by none other than Gheorghe Piperea
How Ursula von der Leyen was put on the spot by none other than Gheorghe Piperea

The no-confidence vote against the Commission has no chance of passing, but following the efforts of conspiracist and lawyer Gheorghe Piperea, von der Leyen will now have to answer the questions of MEPs.

Russia throws prison and death sentences at young people who resist the occupation
Russia throws prison and death sentences at young people who resist the occupation

Teenagers and young men in the Russian-occupied territories have been killed or handed long prison sentences for expressing their support for Ukraine. Ukrainian journalists Inna Kubai and Victoria Novikova have documented* several of these cases, which Veridica brings to your attention.

Veridica
02 Jul 2025
Orbán's propaganda in Brussels: the game is being played at home in the European institutions
Orbán's propaganda in Brussels: the game is being played at home in the European institutions

Viktor Orbán's ideology is promoted in Brussels at events organized by Mathias Corvinus Collegium, a university generously funded by the Budapest government.

Ahead of Adopting the Euro, Bulgaria's pro-EU Opposition Fades to Dark
Ahead of Adopting the Euro, Bulgaria's pro-EU Opposition Fades to Dark

A corruption scandal is threatening to throw into irrelevance Bulgaria’s main pro-European reformist party. If that happens, the pro-Russians extremists would become the only alternative to the current ruling coalition.

The Russian-speaking population of Estonia does not support its foreign policy
The Russian-speaking population of Estonia does not support its foreign policy

A study commissioned by the Estonian Ministry of Foreign Affairs in the spring revealed that the views of Estonian and Russian-speaking residents diverge significantly on most key issues of Estonia's foreign policy.

The Baltic States Need Common Defense. Is This Idea Feasible?
The Baltic States Need Common Defense. Is This Idea Feasible?

Given the vulnerability of the Baltic states to a Russian attack, there are growing calls that they should have a common defense, in order to more effectively supplement NATO’s assistance.

“Potato Führer” without potatoes: how Belarus came to a food crisis
“Potato Führer” without potatoes: how Belarus came to a food crisis

A crisis in potatoes, which are a staple food in Belarus, is showing the failure of the economic model imposed by dictator Aleksandr Lukashenko.

Since the war began, Russians have been drinking, and dining out more
Since the war began, Russians have been drinking, and dining out more

For many it is a coping mechanism, in some cases it reflects newfound war-related income, in others a switch away from big spending.

The war in Ukraine is taking a heavy economic toll on Russia’s regions
The war in Ukraine is taking a heavy economic toll on Russia’s regions

Behind the polished facade of Moscow and official statistics lies a federation increasingly fractured—socially, economically, and politically.

Russia aims to
Russia aims to "reprogram" Romanians through hybrid warfare and disinformation

Russia's attempt to install a president in Bucharest is a small part of the scenario prepared for Romania. In the long term, Moscow aims to culturally "reprogram" Romanians - through disinformation - so that they abandon the West and choose the "Russian world".

Cosmin Popa
10 Jun 2025
Sovereignists' invention and representation of the enemy. Case study: electoral campaign
Sovereignists' invention and representation of the enemy. Case study: electoral campaign

Just like the Legionnaires and the Communists did before them, the Sovereignists have invented their own "enemies of the people and of the country", whom they demonize through visual propaganda. The targets include the EU, Ukraine, Soros, CCR, LGBTQ+, Nicușor Dan and Mugur Isărescu.

Poland in a deadlock between pro-EU liberals and pro-MAGA conservatives
Poland in a deadlock between pro-EU liberals and pro-MAGA conservatives

Karol Nawrocki victory in Poland’s presidential election is a coup for PiS leader, Jarosław Kaczyński. Nawrocki’s mission now would be to paralyze Donald Tusk’s pro-EU government.

Can we really call Russia's economy a war time economy?
Can we really call Russia's economy a war time economy?

Russia’s economy is not yet a wartime economy – but it is drifting dangerously close. Whether it crosses the threshold will depend not just on military needs, but on the political will to sacrifice economic interests for geopolitical ambitions. So far, Moscow has tried to avoid making that choice. But the clock is ticking.

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