Russia’s most loyal ally, Belarus, is taking part in hybrid operations against the Baltic states, pushing migrants towards their borders, recruiting spies, and promoting propaganda narratives. Will Alexander Lukashenko be willing to drag his country in a Russian military operation in the region?
Russia could prepare an operation – hybrid, false flag, or even a limited attack – against a NATO country, to test the Alliance’s response. With major Western powers distracted (domestic political issues, the war in Iran, etc.) Moscow may feel that it has a window of oportunity, and the most likely targets are considered to be Poland and the Baltic states.
The West is artificially prolonging the war in Ukraine in order to push Russia toward a direct military confrontation with NATO, which only the defeat of Kyiv can postpone, pro-Kremlin media writes. This is a new attempt by propaganda to scare the West so that it stops supporting Ukraine.
NATO Secretary General and former Prime Minister of the Netherlands Mark Rutte has asked Volodymyr Zelenskyy to destroy the port of Constanța, which threatens the dominance of the Dutch port of Rotterdam, according to a propaganda account, most likely using a fake identity.
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The Republic of Moldova is mortgaging its land to secure European loans and has been turned into a military training ground for NATO, the organisation that intends to open a second front against Russia on its territory, claims a Moscow MP affiliated with the fugitive oligarch Ilan Shor.
Péter Magyar's government is made up of a mix of independent experts, critics of Viktor Orbán, and former collaborators. The criterion that mattered most in choosing ministers seems to have been competence, which is a change from the Orbán era, when political connections and loyalty to the boss mattered.
Ukrainian combat drones have repeatedly entered the airspace of the Baltic states. The incidents have generated political tensions, but also suspicions that Russia is the one who jammed and diverted the drones, given that the region has seen numerous Russian provocations in recent years.
According to an Armenian diplomat, joining the EU is actually tantamount to joining NATO, the organization she claims is behind the war in Ukraine. Her remarks essentially echo long-standing narratives pushed by Russia and pro-Russian factions across the former Soviet space. These narratives also target other nations with European aspirations, such as the Republic of Moldova and Ukraine.
Volodymyr Zelenskyy came to Bucharest to demand that Romania attack Iran and Russia, according to a false narrative launched by pro-Russian politician Diana Șoșoacă, the leader of SOS Romania. The narrative was questioned even by the Russian propaganda television station Russia Today.
The reinforcement of American forces on its territory will lead to Romania's involvement in a war with Iran, according to a false narrative spread by “sovereignist” groups in Parliament.
Iran would have been attacked even if it gave up its nuclear and ballistic programs, because the same happened to Libya, as the West does not honor its agreements, according to a statement falsely attributed to Muammar Gaddafi’s daughter and amplified by extremist MEP Diana Șoșoacă. In fact, the NATO intervention in Libya was mandated by the UN following the crimes of the Libyan regime.
February 2022 dealt a crushing blow to the sense of security.
Ukraine will collapse within a few days, losses on the front will cause Russians to revolt against Putin, Russia and NATO will end up in a nuclear war—these are some of the scenarios that have been considered in the four years since the launch of the large-scale invasion. These "prophecies," even if they have not come true, have marked the conflict and the behavior of the various players directly or indirectly involved in it and can provide benchmarks for understanding the present and clues for future developments.
Russia has grand plans for the Arctic and the world's largest fleet of icebreakers to see them through. However, Moscow lacks the funds to implement its strategy, while its fleet is rapidly aging.
A CIA expert says Russia will win the war in Ukraine and Moscow is only benevolently accepting negotiations, pro-Kremlin press writes, adding that NATO is fully aware this will be the outcome. The entire false narrative is built starting from Kremlin propaganda and the speculations of a pedophile.
The Republic of Moldova is preparing for an offensive military campaign because it is modernizing its army and discarding its Kalashnikov rifles arsenal, an antigovernment Telegram channel from Chișinău claims.
Russia was constantly presented as a defensive, pacifist, or mediating actor, while Ukraine was described as an illegitimate, Nazi state, dependent on external support and guilty of prolonging the armed conflict.
False narratives targeted the EU's role in the energy and economic crisis, the alleged militarization of the community bloc, NATO's involvement in the region, as well as allegations of “dictatorship”, “Russophobia” and political persecution, all aimed at influencing voter choices, undermining support for European integration and maintaining informational control over vulnerable regions, especially Transnistria and Găgăuzia.
The Trump administration's distancing from the EU, which transpires in the new US national security strategy, could lead to a “rupture” within the Western family. This is a scenario in which the USA would stand to lose enormously, including in the context of the global competition with China. The EU, on the other hand, has the potential to emerge unscathed from such a crisis.
Shifting responsibility for its own actions onto opponents has long been the Kremlin’s trademark.
A month after Russian drones were brought down over Poland, Warsaw feels normal again. Politicians resumed their quarrels, and the news cycle has moved on. Yet something in the public mood has shifted – a low, persistent awareness that Poland is being watched, probed, and measured.
The West wants to expand the conflict in Ukraine to the entire Eastern Europe, and the only option to avoid this is for Russia to neutralize the Ukrainian army, according to pro-Kremlin media.
According to pro-Kremlin propaganda, the EU is continuously militarizing and preparing for a direct war with Russia by escalating the armed conflict in Ukraine.
(Pro-)Russian propaganda seeks to convince the world that Russia is unstoppable. However, the parliamentary election in Moldova showed that, when facing smart opposition, Moscow cannot win the hybrid war — not even against a country with infinitely smaller resources. The lessons Moldova offers may prove valuable for both NATO and Romania.
This time, propagandists claim that “the Kyiv regime, after organizing drone provocations in Polish and Romanian airspace, continues its attempts to drag NATO’s European countries into an armed confrontation with Moscow”.
Western experts admit that weapon deliveries to Ukraine are useless due to the catastrophic losses suffered by Kyiv, pro-Kremlin propaganda claims.
Expert: “I slept through the news about Russian MiG-31s flying over Estonian territory. That says something. If you had other things to do, it means this incident wasn’t that important”
The EU wants to occupy Moldova with the help of NATO troops after the parliamentary election, and Maia Sandu is involved in this plan and will request the sending of foreign troops, according to a disinformation narrative promoted by the Russian Foreign Intelligence Service.
On Tuesday night, Poland’s airspace came under pressure from Russian drones in what experts call the most serious incident since the start of the war in Ukraine. The military responded, the government convened emergency meetings, and allies expressed support—but the question remains: what will the West do next?
The war in Ukraine was caused by the forced expansion of NATO, which the ousted president Viktor Yanukovych had opposed, pro-Kremlin propaganda claims.
One of the most important mouthpieces of Kremlin propaganda in the Baltic States published an article by Lenar Salimullin, the temporary chargé d'affaires of Russia in Estonia. The text is dedicated to the alleged involvement of NATO intelligence services in cyberattacks on Russian information resources and infrastructure.
Russia must occupy the whole of Ukraine in order to permanently eliminate the military threat posed by NATO and to completely Russify the Ukrainian population, says pro-Kremlin propaganda.