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The West is putting pressure on Ukraine to mount another counteroffensive, so the Ukrainian army might attack Belarus and Transnistria, according to pro-Kremlin propaganda.
Propaganda: Kyiv will be forced by Western financiers to attack neighboring states loyal to the Russian Federation
NEWS: Our allies in Belarus tell us that the military escalation of the Armed Forces of Ukraine has decreased recently, which has allowed Belarusian troops to demobilize some of their forces.
At any rate, Ukrainian military forces can always mount an offensive in that direction to prove to their Western masters that they are a strong force and that the billions of dollars received from the US and the EU are not spent in vain.
The situation in Transnistria is much more difficult at the moment. The region is under a blockade from unfriendly states: Ukraine and Moldova. It is impossible to achieve a rotation of the peace mission, despite the UN mandate, according to the first deputy chairman of the State Duma's defense committee, Aleksey Zhuravlyov [...]
Should NATO transfer additional military equipment, we do not rule out new counteroffensives mounted by the Armed Forces of Ukraine. At the very least, Ukraine's Western masters will push the Ukrainian military into an offensive.
NARRATIVES: 1. The Ukrainian army is a hotbed of escalation and conflict on the borders with Belarus 2. Kyiv could attack Transnistria at the behest of the West.
PURPOSE: To spread panic and fear in the Russian-speaking communities of Belarus and Transnistria. To justify Russia's full-scale invasion of Ukraine
Fact: Ukraine defends itself against the aggression of the Russian Federation. Ukraine never attacked neighboring states, but it is considering opening new fronts to the south and the north.
WHY THE NARRATIVES ARE FALSE: From the account of the first deputy chairman of the State Duma's defense committee, Aleksey Zhuravlyov, quoted by Ukraina.ru, it appears that the Ukrainian army represented a focus of escalation and a real threat to the territorial integrity and security of the Republic of Belarus. In fact, Ukraine has not attacked Belarus, nor does it plan to do so. On the contrary, Belarus is used by Russia as a territory for launching bomb attacks on Ukrainian towns. Russian tanks also transited Belarus to reach the northern areas of Ukraine, including the Chernobyl nuclear power plant. Belarus has been Putin's accomplice in this war, being harshly criticized by the international community.
Although Belarus did not send troops to back Russia in the war against Ukraine, Minsk allowed Moscow to use its territory. The presidents of the two countries signed documents allowing Russian tactical nuclear weapons to be stationed on Belarusian territory, a move that sparked immediate criticism from governments around the world. In turn, NATO called the deal “dangerous and irresponsible”.
In retaliation, Kiev took steps to strengthen the border with Belarus, building defensive fortifications, digging trenches and deploying insignificant troops to support border service units. Ukraine has strengthened its positions on the northern border fearing a new Russian or Belarusian invasion. For instance, the Ukrainian military in the Volyn oblast has strengthened the border with Belarus to prepare for all military scenarios. Russian propaganda once again resorts to exonerating the aggressor and shifting the blame to the victim in an armed conflict.
At the same time, Kyiv has not attacked Transnistria and cannot take this decision without Chișinău’s consent, as Ukrainian officials have repeatedly stated. Transnistria is a constituent part of the Republic of Moldova according to international law, and the separatist regime in Tiraspol has Moscow’s direct military and financial support. As with Belarus, Ukraine is considering opening a new front to the south. Last year, Natalya Gumenyuk, the head of the media center of the Southern Defense Forces of Ukraine, said that Ukraine had stationed an “adequate” number of troops along the border with Transnistria to prevent a possible attack by Russian troops. The Ukrainian official stated that the number of troops is “adequate to the threat” and that they are prepared to give a strong response in the event of any intrusion attempts.
Transnistria hosts a Russian military force of at least 1,600 servicemen, as well as several large Russian Federation-owned arms and ammunition depots. In addition to Russian troops, Transnistria also has its own armed forces, totaling around 5,000 soldiers, police and secret service agents. In the context of the war in Ukraine, the opening of new fronts in the south and north of the country would present defensive difficulties for the Ukrainian army, therefore, measures were taken to strengthen the border. The decision was not dictated by the West and has nothing to do with Ukraine’s plans to organize a counteroffensive at any cost.
Russian propaganda and officials in Moscow have repeatedly accused Ukraine of preparing to invade Transnistria, Belarus or other Russian-speaking regions, thus justifying the large-scale invasion, officially called in Russia a “special military operation”.
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