Opinions

Ukraine’s anti-oligarch law: a reform tool or a political weapon?
Ukraine’s anti-oligarch law: a reform tool or a political weapon?

The Parliament in Kiev adopted a law aiming to curb oligarchs’ influence in politics. The piece of legislation comes at a time when Ukraine’s partners have warned Kiev authorities they are doing too little to limit the informal decision-making of groups of oligarchs. Despite having already been adopted, the law rather seems to be a sort of “window dressing” designed to boost Zelensky’s influence in the runup to the presidential election. No one really knows who exactly will be on the list of oligarchs who will have to abide by the new legislation and what the long-term implications will be.

Leonid Litra
12 Oct 2021
The Republic of Moldova is still vulnerable to Russia
The Republic of Moldova is still vulnerable to Russia

The pro-European government in Chisinau has entered a complicated period. Judicial reform has already begun in force and has already generated an internal crisis due to the detention of the prosecutor general, a measure that has been described as too harsh by some analysts, recalling a real "judicial blietzkrieg". This is exactly the kind of situation that Russia usually exploits, and Moscow has a few levers at its disposal to ensure that Moldova goes in the direction it wants.

Al-Qaeda, the Islamic State, the Taliban. Why jihadis are fighting each other
Al-Qaeda, the Islamic State, the Taliban. Why jihadis are fighting each other

This war among Muslim extremists might seem peculiar. Their ideologies are strikingly similar. Most of their fighters originate from the same region and share the same cultural and ethnic background. Their number one enemy is the West, embodied by the United States, whose withdrawal from Afghanistan is perceived by many as a defeat. Rather, their rivalry is more nuanced and has to do with their divergent worldviews and their distinctive approach to religion and jihad. Their dispute is also highly political, as they both fight for supremacy and prestige. Finally, their clash reflects the old rivalry between al-Qaeda and the Islamic State.

The arrest of Moldova’s Prosecutor General: a step towards reform, or a stage in the fight over institutions?
The arrest of Moldova’s Prosecutor General: a step towards reform, or a stage in the fight over institutions?

The Prosecutor General of the Republic of Moldova was arrested on October 5 for corruption. This is the latest in a series of scandals over this institution. Will it mark the true beginning of judicial reform, or are we dealing with a new stage in the war over the control of a vital institution?

Germany and the future chancellor: it’s complicated
Germany and the future chancellor: it’s complicated

Who will be Germany’s next chancellor? Olaf Scholz, the Social-Democrat candidate, seems to be the favorite choice. And it wouldn’t be far from the truth either, if the German election system weren’t so intricate. Now, after the September 26 election, all options are still on the table.

Chisinau’s diplomatic offensive and the sinuous road from image to success
Chisinau’s diplomatic offensive and the sinuous road from image to success

After Maia Sandu and PAS took over the reins of power, Chisinau started a genuine diplomatic offensive. There is openness towards the Republic of Moldova in the western chancelleries, as well as willingness to help, but that is no guarantee for success. A decade ago, the country was in a similar situation, but the failure of the governments that followed eventually led to years of isolation.

Propaganda pawns. The mirage of chess in the Soviet era
Propaganda pawns. The mirage of chess in the Soviet era

Since Lenin, many communist leaders have tried to play and promote chess. Most of the time, these leaders were pathetic players, who were not able to face a tournament of medium and even amateur level; except, perhaps, for one organized only among themselves, an event which, however, never took place, despite the socialist friendship between their peoples. But that did not stop the same communist leaders from turning chess into a powerful propaganda tool during the Cold War. And in this respect, the Soviets were indeed champions.

How Russia used the military exercise
How Russia used the military exercise "Zapad-2021" to achieve political goals

The Russian-Belarusian exercise "Zapad-2021" has become the object of increased attention from the neighbors of the two countries. But this event on the military-political map of Europe was only used as a distraction by the Kremlin.

Yevhen Mahda
30 Sep 2021
Angela Merkel’s legacy in the Western Balkans
Angela Merkel’s legacy in the Western Balkans

Outgoing German Chancellor Angela Merkel was, for years, the driving force behind Berlin’s – and EU’s – policies in the Western Balkans. As Merkel is exiting the scene, the region is still years away from EU integration, and some of its countries even took a turn away from their stated objectives of becoming consolidated liberal democracies.

Vuk Velebit
28 Sep 2021
From Intermarium to the Three Seas Initiative: how former USSR satellites can curb Russia’s influence in Europe
From Intermarium to the Three Seas Initiative: how former USSR satellites can curb Russia’s influence in Europe

After the annexation of Crimea in 2014, Russia’s acts of aggression and its military-oriented stance on NATO’s eastern flank have inevitably become a reason for concern for a number of countries in Central and Eastern Europe, particularly those behind the former Iron Curtain under Russia’s sphere of influence. Efforts to connect European infrastructure from north to south may curb Moscow’s influence in the region, and inadvertently boost the collective security of central and east-European states.

The Decline of the West?
The Decline of the West?

Following the hasty withdrawal of US and NATO forces from Afghanistan, an increasing number of analysts speak and write about weaknesses of Europe and Washington vis-à-vis illiberal, authoritarian regimes. Some even engage with the idea that the West may have in fact entered a process of decline. However, while the latest developments in Afghanistan could well be the symptom of profound change in the international arena, talking about the West declining in a logic of confrontation with the East is rather problematic.

Elections in Czech Republic: The Stork Nest and the Angry Son
Elections in Czech Republic: The Stork Nest and the Angry Son

Just as the electoral campaign was beginning in the the Czech Republic, the public got a taste of a Greek tragedy when the incumbent Prime Minister, Andrej Babiš, was publicly challenged by his estranged son. The bizzare story, which involves even an alleged kidnapping of Babiš Jr. on his father’s orders, has some very real implications as it may be connected to a fraud involving European funds and a company owned by the Prime Minister.

Michael Švec
22 Sep 2021
Why Bulgarian President Rumen Radev is here to stay
Why Bulgarian President Rumen Radev is here to stay

Two months before the Presidential elections, Radev is the only candidate, and with an approval rating soaring above 65%, he stands a good chance of being re-elected. Supported by parties opposing the local politics status-quo, Radev is trying to build a stronger persona and a long-term presence on the political scene

BORDERLINE DISORDER
BORDERLINE DISORDER

For a month now, the tragedy of 32 Afghan citizens, who have been stuck in no man's land on the Polish-Belarusian border due to the political game between Aleksandr Lukashenko and Jaroslaw Kaczynski, has been unfolding. Similar things are happening on the borders in Latvia and Lithuania. The Polish government seems to be the worst coping with the situation. Why is that?

Germany, to a new era!
Germany, to a new era!

On September 26, 2021, the Germans go to the polls. An extremely difficult choice after 16 years with Angela Merkel at the helm of the country. A choice on which not only the future of Germany, but also that of the EU depends. The imprint left by Mutti, as the Germans have nicknamed Angela Merkel, will not make the mission of the future chancellor easy. The nearly two decades have not been easy at all, but Germany's first woman chancellor has managed to stay in power and, most importantly, impose her views domestically and internationally.

“Football paradiplomacy” or how Transnistria has come into the limelight in Europe thanks to sports
“Football paradiplomacy” or how Transnistria has come into the limelight in Europe thanks to sports

Sheriff Tiraspol, Moldova’s top football club, may be used by the regime in Transnistria to give some visibility to the separatist region and to try to gain a minimum of legitimacy on the international stage.

Why did Al-Qaeda attack the United States? The connection with Israel and one of Saddam Hussein’s wars
Why did Al-Qaeda attack the United States? The connection with Israel and one of Saddam Hussein’s wars

September 11, 2001 was the bloodiest landmark in the global jihad proclaimed by Osama bin Laden and his allies against the United States. Terrorists launched the attack in the name of liberating the holy sites which they claimed had been occupied by “crusaders” and “Zionists.” 9/11 convinced the Americans they had to hunt down jihadis all over the world. After 20 years and several wars, spanning from Central Asia and the Middle East to Africa, the global jihad continues.

Refugees: a double-bottomed crisis
Refugees: a double-bottomed crisis

The refugee crisis that erupted in the summer on Belarus’ border with its western neighbors has several components. We are looking at new tactics in Russia's hybrid actions with the cynical use of an ally and the desire to strike at the most consistent criticisms of Russia.

Yevhen Mahda
09 Sep 2021
The mistakes that led to losing Afghanistan*
The mistakes that led to losing Afghanistan*

The United States made three big mistakes in Afghanistan - two before 9/11, and the third after invading the country. One every decade since the 1980s.

Ukraine policy on Transnistria stirs things up for Chisinau
Ukraine policy on Transnistria stirs things up for Chisinau

Ukraine’s policy towards Transnistria also impacts the agenda of the Government in Chișinău, which would rather focus on domestic reforms. Kiev decided to ban the access of all vehicles registered in Transnistria from entering its territory starting September 1, although Chișinău authorities wanted to delay the measure.

How does Russian and Chinese capital undermine democracy in Serbia?
How does Russian and Chinese capital undermine democracy in Serbia?

Authoritarian states like Russia and China use the capital to increase their political clout. However, their investments and the loans they grant are not as advantageous as they are advertised, and one of their hidden costs is the undermining of democratic values and standards.

Vuk Velebit
02 Sep 2021
America’s war in Afghanistan is over. The images that stay with us
America’s war in Afghanistan is over. The images that stay with us

On August 30, late at night, the United States completed all operations to withdraw from Afghanistan, bringing an end to the longest war in its history.

How Romanian language is used as a tool in the hybrid war waged by Moscow in the Republic of Moldova
How Romanian language is used as a tool in the hybrid war waged by Moscow in the Republic of Moldova

During the 30 years since the Republic of Moldova gained its independence, the language spoken in that country has been skillfully used not only as a bone of contention in domestic identity disputes, but also as a tool in the hybrid war waged by Russia on the territory of the Republic of Moldova and beyond.

After 30 years of independence, Moldova still struggles with identity issues
After 30 years of independence, Moldova still struggles with identity issues

30 years after the proclamation of independence in the Republic of Moldova, the country still faces identity issues. Society is divided between those who describe themselves as Moldovans, Moldovan speakers – a tribute to Soviet legacy – and those who consider themselves Romanian and speak Romanian, those who feel they belong to the Russian world, and those who look towards Romania and the European Union.

Russia’s pressure points in Chisinau. How Moscow preserved its influence after Moldova's independence
Russia’s pressure points in Chisinau. How Moscow preserved its influence after Moldova's independence

The Republic of Moldova proclaimed its independence in the wake of the breakdown of the USSR, but also as a result of the national rebirth movement at the end of the 1980s. In the 30 years that have since lapsed, Moscow has used a number of pressure points – a population with a doubtful identity, the frozen conflict in Transnistria, the monopoly on natural gas, its political clientele, etc. – in order to uphold its influence in the area between the Prut and the Dniester rivers.

Hungary’s Orban pushes ultra-conservative agenda at home and abroad
Hungary’s Orban pushes ultra-conservative agenda at home and abroad

Viktor Orban’s domestic “pro-family” policies made him a champion for the conservatives engaged in the so-called “culture wars”.

Daniel Nolan
25 Aug 2021
Turkey continues its downward spiral. Impressions from a trip to the Izmir region
Turkey continues its downward spiral. Impressions from a trip to the Izmir region

Returning to Turkey after one year, I found that the country continues its downward spiral. Life is getting harder, and many seem to be increasingly demoralised.

As Czechia gets ready for elections, a complicated game unfolds between its (pro-Russian) President, the chief spy hunter and the Prime Minister
As Czechia gets ready for elections, a complicated game unfolds between its (pro-Russian) President, the chief spy hunter and the Prime Minister

The pro-Russian Czech President seems determined to get rid of the country’s head of domestic intelligence, whose job is to stop Russian spies. The intelligence chief used to be supported by the Prime Minister, but with elections looming, the latter now needs the President by his side.

Michael Švec
19 Aug 2021
The huge stake in the complicated equation of destroying Soviet ammunition in Transnistria
The huge stake in the complicated equation of destroying Soviet ammunition in Transnistria

The possibility of destroying the ammunition of Soviet origin kept in depos in the village of Cobasna, in the Transnistrian separatist region, has aroused Moscow's interest, at least at a declarative level.

The Taliban are winning the war in Afghanistan. What’s happened and what we can expect
The Taliban are winning the war in Afghanistan. What’s happened and what we can expect

The Taliban have conquered Afghanistan again, almost 20 years after they were chased away by a US intervention. How was this possible and, especially, what awaits us?

Third time’s a charm: Uncertain Bulgaria braves for a new round of elections
Third time’s a charm: Uncertain Bulgaria braves for a new round of elections

The desire to overthrow GERB and Boyko Borissov wasn’t enough: There is Such a Nation, the new party that won Bulgaria’s latest elections, made another U-turn on Tuesday by revoking its ministerial nominations amid rising controversies.

Cuba, from rifles to Facebook
Cuba, from rifles to Facebook

Cuba has recently faced its largest protests in three decades. The protesters used social media to mobilize. Is this the weapon that will bring down one of the longest-surviving communist regimes in the world - or at least force it to accept profound reforms?

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