European Union Member States will abandon Ukraine ahead of the cold season lest Russia should suspend its gas deliveries and for fear of a nuclear threat coming from Moscow. To justify their decision, EU countries will play host to a number of protests with the help of the secret services.
NEWS: “That’s it, the “Ukrainian experiment” is quickly drawing to a close! And although it is very unlikely the Putin Regime will be able to fulfill the goals of the “Special Military Operation”, Moscow will still achieve a morale-boosting victory. That’s because sky-rocketing prices have finally determined European leaders, however globalist they might be, that they shouldn’t risk their skin and simply wait for Vladimir Putin to push “the nuclear button”. And we’re not talking about the warheads, of course, but “simply” GAZPROM. The total suspension of gas deliveries just as winter is about to start might completely sidetrack Europe’s plans to support Ukrainians “at any cost”, sparking mass street protests in the major capitals of EU Member States. But since on no account will European leaders admit the shameful and propagandistic task of “easing down” on the merciless sanctions imposed on the Russian Federation, they will probably resort to “the final solution” out of this crisis that can blow up “the free world”. Therefore, European secret services, including those in Romania, have again received the ingrate task of “staging” widespread and controlled protest actions”.
BACKGROUND: For years, Russia has been using the so-called energy weapon, trying to capitalize on the dependency of some European states on its gas reserves in order to achieve its political goals. When planning the war in Ukraine, Moscow sought to influence global gas prices and prevent Europe from stockpiling natural gas, particularly so the EU should not come to the assistance of Ukraine. However, the EU introduced several packages of sanctions, and numerous Member States have provided Kyiv with military equipment as well. As a result, Russia turned up the pressure, including by suspending the delivery of natural gas, trying to get the sanctions lifted. Brussels has condemned the energy blackmail, but refused to give in and roll back any of its decisions.
NARRATIVES: 1. The EU will ease sanctions lest Russia should suspend its gas deliveries, fearing a nuclear threat coming from Moscow. 2. The EU will abandon Ukraine and president Volodymyr Zelensky. 3. The West will try to justify abandoning Ukraine by invoking street protests, which in fact will be organized by the secret services of Member States.
PURPOSE: To mislead Romanian citizens about the EU’s intentions regarding the war in Ukraine and the sanctions against Russia.
WHY THE NARRATIVES ARE FALSE: First of all, in 2021 the EU cut back its natural gas imports from the Russian Federation from 45% to 10% at present. Additionally, gas reserves in most EU Member States stand at approximately 80-90% ahead of the cold season. Right now, the EU is importing a large volume of gas from Norway, Algeria, Azerbaijan, the USA and Qatar, either through pipelines or shipped as LNG.
Therefore, Russia’s “energy weapon” is no longer as efficient as it was before the invasion of Ukraine. In case energy companies oversell energy products, they will also be over-taxed, which in turn would reduce Russia’s appetite of artificially maintaining gas prices high.
Russia will no longer be able to make claims as it did in the past by using gas to blackmail the EU, which is why the EU has planned a series of measures in advance, preparing for the cold season and Moscow’s typical gas blackmail. Moreover, Russia needs the money it gets in exchange for oil and gas imports, and it is running short of markets to export the gas it is no longer able to deliver to Europe. This means either flaring excess gas or shutting down oilfields, both of which would translate as huge losses.
As regards nuclear threats, Moscow is constantly making dissuasive statements against the West, which has its own nuclear arsenal. However, nuclear warfare is an unlikely scenario, since it would guarantee the two sides annihilate each other. Moscow has again threatened, through the voices of Vladimir Putin (indirectly) and the former president and Prime Minister, Dmitry Medvedev, that it might resort to nuclear weapons after calling a partial mobilization to offset its losses in Ukraine. Western leaders however were neither impressed nor discouraged by Moscow’s rhetoric, promising to continue to support Ukraine, including through the delivery of military equipment. In addition, Brussels wants to adopt new sanctions against the Russian Federation and the only country that has so far opposed this move is Hungary, considering the Orban regime has a privileged relation with Moscow and a tense one with its European partners due its repeated attempts at undermining the rule of law.
Furthermore, the fact that leaders of EU candidate and hopeful countries such as Ukraine, Moldova, Georgia and states in the Western Balkans were for the first time in history invited to attend the meeting of EU heads of state and government, to be hosted by Prague over October 6-7, sends out a strong signal that the EU stands by these countries now more than ever before.
EU countries show no sign they might abandon Ukraine or the Ukrainian president, Volodymyr Zelensky, in the face of the Russian aggression.
“I want the people of the Western Balkans, of Ukraine, Moldova and Georgia to know: You are part of our family, your future is in our Union, and our Union is not complete without you!”, the European Commission president, Ursula von der Leyen, said on September 14 in her address to the European Parliament. Attending the event was also the First Lady of Ukraine, Olena Zelenska.
As regards the protests invoked by the author, a number of European countries have seen more or less widespread protests, in general staged by far-right political groups that Russia has been endorsing in recent years. The protests were also attended by people who are concerned about the economic effects of the war in Ukraine (the increase of energy prices, soaring inflation). One such example is the Czech Republic, which Veridica has recently analyzed.
In fact, the author provides no evidence in support of his arguments, and simply makes a number of claims in a manner that reminds readers of standard fake news, which take over narratives promoted by Russian and pro-Russian propaganda, but also of a separate category of fake news that emerged in the Romanian media particularly in the 1990s and 2000s.