Opinions

Russia’s latest mischiefs prove why Moldova must diversify its gas and electricity sources
Russia’s latest mischiefs prove why Moldova must diversify its gas and electricity sources

Less than a month after Moldova signed a new contract for the delivery of natural gas, Moscow proved it knows how to use its terms to its advantage. It is clear that Moldova’s energy problems are far from over, and the only medium- and long-term solution out of this deadlock is to diversify its suppliers.

The Turkish lira crisis and Ankara Islamic-conservative policies of Ankara
The Turkish lira crisis and Ankara Islamic-conservative policies of Ankara

The collapse of the Turkish lira is largely the result of Ankara's policies. These are policies dependent on the Islamic-conservative ideology and populist-authoritarian tendencies of the Erdögan regime, the first to seriously challenge Atatürk's view of the state.

A “graffiti war” in Belgrade over a convicted war criminal
A “graffiti war” in Belgrade over a convicted war criminal

Decades after the guns fell silent in Bosnia, a different type of war is being waged in Belgrade between those who insist on facing the past so that Serbia can move forward and those still trapped in the wartime nationalist narratives of the 1990s.

Vuk Velebit
24 Nov 2021
Romania and Moldova: between lost chances and strengthening ties
Romania and Moldova: between lost chances and strengthening ties

On Tuesday, Maia Sandu pays a visit to a Bucharest, which, preoccupied with the political and epidemiological crisis it faces, has placed the bilateral relationship somewhere in the background. As it has often happened in the last 30 years, opportunities have been missed; but even so, ties continue to strengthen.

To cross or not to cross: the hybrid attack on EU's and NATO's Eastern border
To cross or not to cross: the hybrid attack on EU's and NATO's Eastern border

Thousands of migrants got trapped on the Poland – Belarus border between the two countries’ security forces. The EU and NATO denounced a hybrid attack, Belarus denies and relies on Russian support, and Putin makes his own game.

After flirting with Russia, the Czech Republic is about to return to Vaclav Havel’s legacy
After flirting with Russia, the Czech Republic is about to return to Vaclav Havel’s legacy

All five members of the emerging coalition speak with one voice about the pro-Western direction of the country and the return of the policy of promoting human rights in the world.

Michael Švec
17 Nov 2021
Bulgaria’s game changing double elections: a closer look
Bulgaria’s game changing double elections: a closer look

Bulgaria goes deeper into unpredictable territory following the November 14 joint elections. The general elections saw a new reformist party debuting on top against all odds, while in the Presidential run, Rumen Radev is set to be re-elected after mustering nearly 50 per cent of the vote in the first round.

100 days of pro-European governance in the Republic of Moldova: achievements and failures
100 days of pro-European governance in the Republic of Moldova: achievements and failures

The PAS administration marked 100 days since it took office by publishing an activity report presenting its achievements. Overall, the Government in Chișinău had a number of accomplishments, but things are not as peachy as the aforementioned report suggests.

How the Kremlin disguises its disinformation in apparently Romanian narratives
How the Kremlin disguises its disinformation in apparently Romanian narratives

The coronavirus pandemic was accompanied by a genuine wave of fake news, the second in merely a decade. The false narratives in this wave are repurposed and updated: the disinformation they spread are disguised to come across as local topics and concerns. The Kremlin has thus adjusted its strategy for spreading disinformation to Romanians’ notorious Russophobia.

Marian Voicu
11 Nov 2021
COP26: Globalization by necessity
COP26: Globalization by necessity

The summit on climate change, COP26, brings no breaking news: we already know that a critical point has been reached. However, just knowing it doesn't help. We need urgent measures and policies that can no longer be postponed if we want to give future generations a chance.

From SM-3 to SMR: How America brings Romania under the energy security umbrella
From SM-3 to SMR: How America brings Romania under the energy security umbrella

The strategic partnership between Romania and the USA will enter a new stage, after the signing last Thursday of a very important agreement between the Romanian state-owned company Nuclearelectrica and the US NuScale Power on the deployment in Romania of small modular nuclear reactors, known as SMR, which will give access to a new source of clean energy.

The Gas Crisis: What can we learn from Russia’s “gas wars” with Ukraine
The Gas Crisis: What can we learn from Russia’s “gas wars” with Ukraine

Russia has traditionally used gas as a weapon, and Ukraine has been a traditional target of Kremlin’s energy aggression. The events of autumn 2021 in Europe invite us to have a look at the previous so-called “gas-wars” and their impact, in order to be able to better predict Russia’s future actions and understands its tactis and motivations.

Yevhen Mahda
04 Nov 2021
The gas crisis: Putin vs. Europe
The gas crisis: Putin vs. Europe

Vladimir Putin’s plans have two main goals: to take Ukraine out of the gas market, and thus silence any political regime in Kiev, and to destabilize the European Union by means of repeated natural gas crises.

The gas crisis: Chisinau’s Pyrrhic victory in the negotiations with Gazprom
The gas crisis: Chisinau’s Pyrrhic victory in the negotiations with Gazprom

Announced with bells and whistles as a big thing achieved by the Republic of Moldova with regard to the gas supply from Russia, the new contract with Gazprom is not exactly a success, either economically or politically.

The Non-Aligned Movement at 60: can Serbia (and Russia) use it to promote their policies?
The Non-Aligned Movement at 60: can Serbia (and Russia) use it to promote their policies?

A Cold War era relic, the Non-Aligned Movement is still seen as useful by one of its founding members – Serbia – and a prospective new-comer, Russia. Both are aiming to project their soft power among the organizations 130+ members and observers. And both may be expecting too much from a Movement that never really managed to become a real alternative to the world’s power poles.

Vuk Velebit
28 Oct 2021
Erdogan’s War with Turkey’s Western Allies
Erdogan’s War with Turkey’s Western Allies

On October the 23rd, Turkish President, Recep Tayyip Erdoğan said that he had told his foreign minister to declare ten ambassadors persona non grata, after they asked for the release of an activist jailed for years. Seven of these were ambassadors from NATO allied countries, including the US and European heavyweights France and Germany. The crisis, which threatened to be the most severe between Ankara and its allies since Erdoğan came to power, was eventually eased, but nonetheless, it was indicative of Erdogan’s stance towards the West.

Dodon’s bluff: his apparent exit from domestic politics and “defection” to Moscow
Dodon’s bluff: his apparent exit from domestic politics and “defection” to Moscow

Igor Dodon’s surprising announcement about his withdrawal from political life and entry into business early last week raised a lot of questions regarding the former pro-Russian president’s actual endgame.

Surprises in the Czech Republic: Together with Pirates, without Populists and Communists
Surprises in the Czech Republic: Together with Pirates, without Populists and Communists

The recent parliamentary elections have redrawn the political map in the Czech Republic. The incumbent Prime Minister Andrej Babiš has lost power, a coalition of five very diverse parties will most likely govern, and voters of the traditional left-wing parties have lost their representation entirely. The post-election situation is further complicated by the fact that President Miloš Zeman is seriously ill and, according to the hospital where he is hospitalised, is unable to exercise his powers. Prague Castle, however, is silent about Zeman's condition.

Michael Švec
21 Oct 2021
The Metropolitanate of Moldova and Moscow’s ploys in Chișinău
The Metropolitanate of Moldova and Moscow’s ploys in Chișinău

The Metropolitanate of Moldova is one of the instruments Russia is using to exert its influence in Chișinău. From backing pro-Russian politicians in election campaigns to blocking certain pieces of legislation that would take Moldova closer to Europe, the Metropolitanate has constantly shown that religion is hardly its sole concern.

Bulgaria and the Pandora Case: nothing shocking in a country accustomed to corruption
Bulgaria and the Pandora Case: nothing shocking in a country accustomed to corruption

The Pandora Papers did not cause a major surprise in Bulgaria, a country accustomed to corruption scandals. It remains to be seen what will their impact be. For now, one of those exposed in the leaks, controversial oligarch Delyan Peevski, instead of hiding returned from Dubai to Bulgaria and announced his come back to the political scene.

Ill Omens from the East
Ill Omens from the East

Events this week in Iraq, Lebanon and two European countries were a stark reminder that we still need to pay attention to the Middle East

Poland: Should I Stay or Should I Go?
Poland: Should I Stay or Should I Go?

The Polish government is exacerbating the conflict with Brussels, and Poles are taking to the streets backing EU membership. But when we look at the matter in more detail, it turns out that it is not as simple as the Western media wants to see it.

Ukraine’s anti-oligarch law: a reform tool or a political weapon?
Ukraine’s anti-oligarch law: a reform tool or a political weapon?

The Parliament in Kiev adopted a law aiming to curb oligarchs’ influence in politics. The piece of legislation comes at a time when Ukraine’s partners have warned Kiev authorities they are doing too little to limit the informal decision-making of groups of oligarchs. Despite having already been adopted, the law rather seems to be a sort of “window dressing” designed to boost Zelensky’s influence in the runup to the presidential election. No one really knows who exactly will be on the list of oligarchs who will have to abide by the new legislation and what the long-term implications will be.

Leonid Litra
12 Oct 2021
The Republic of Moldova is still vulnerable to Russia
The Republic of Moldova is still vulnerable to Russia

The pro-European government in Chisinau has entered a complicated period. Judicial reform has already begun in force and has already generated an internal crisis due to the detention of the prosecutor general, a measure that has been described as too harsh by some analysts, recalling a real "judicial blietzkrieg". This is exactly the kind of situation that Russia usually exploits, and Moscow has a few levers at its disposal to ensure that Moldova goes in the direction it wants.

Al-Qaeda, the Islamic State, the Taliban. Why jihadis are fighting each other
Al-Qaeda, the Islamic State, the Taliban. Why jihadis are fighting each other

This war among Muslim extremists might seem peculiar. Their ideologies are strikingly similar. Most of their fighters originate from the same region and share the same cultural and ethnic background. Their number one enemy is the West, embodied by the United States, whose withdrawal from Afghanistan is perceived by many as a defeat. Rather, their rivalry is more nuanced and has to do with their divergent worldviews and their distinctive approach to religion and jihad. Their dispute is also highly political, as they both fight for supremacy and prestige. Finally, their clash reflects the old rivalry between al-Qaeda and the Islamic State.

The arrest of Moldova’s Prosecutor General: a step towards reform, or a stage in the fight over institutions?
The arrest of Moldova’s Prosecutor General: a step towards reform, or a stage in the fight over institutions?

The Prosecutor General of the Republic of Moldova was arrested on October 5 for corruption. This is the latest in a series of scandals over this institution. Will it mark the true beginning of judicial reform, or are we dealing with a new stage in the war over the control of a vital institution?

Germany and the future chancellor: it’s complicated
Germany and the future chancellor: it’s complicated

Who will be Germany’s next chancellor? Olaf Scholz, the Social-Democrat candidate, seems to be the favorite choice. And it wouldn’t be far from the truth either, if the German election system weren’t so intricate. Now, after the September 26 election, all options are still on the table.

Chisinau’s diplomatic offensive and the sinuous road from image to success
Chisinau’s diplomatic offensive and the sinuous road from image to success

After Maia Sandu and PAS took over the reins of power, Chisinau started a genuine diplomatic offensive. There is openness towards the Republic of Moldova in the western chancelleries, as well as willingness to help, but that is no guarantee for success. A decade ago, the country was in a similar situation, but the failure of the governments that followed eventually led to years of isolation.

Propaganda pawns. The mirage of chess in the Soviet era
Propaganda pawns. The mirage of chess in the Soviet era

Since Lenin, many communist leaders have tried to play and promote chess. Most of the time, these leaders were pathetic players, who were not able to face a tournament of medium and even amateur level; except, perhaps, for one organized only among themselves, an event which, however, never took place, despite the socialist friendship between their peoples. But that did not stop the same communist leaders from turning chess into a powerful propaganda tool during the Cold War. And in this respect, the Soviets were indeed champions.

How Russia used the military exercise
How Russia used the military exercise "Zapad-2021" to achieve political goals

The Russian-Belarusian exercise "Zapad-2021" has become the object of increased attention from the neighbors of the two countries. But this event on the military-political map of Europe was only used as a distraction by the Kremlin.

Yevhen Mahda
30 Sep 2021
Angela Merkel’s legacy in the Western Balkans
Angela Merkel’s legacy in the Western Balkans

Outgoing German Chancellor Angela Merkel was, for years, the driving force behind Berlin’s – and EU’s – policies in the Western Balkans. As Merkel is exiting the scene, the region is still years away from EU integration, and some of its countries even took a turn away from their stated objectives of becoming consolidated liberal democracies.

Vuk Velebit
28 Sep 2021
From Intermarium to the Three Seas Initiative: how former USSR satellites can curb Russia’s influence in Europe
From Intermarium to the Three Seas Initiative: how former USSR satellites can curb Russia’s influence in Europe

After the annexation of Crimea in 2014, Russia’s acts of aggression and its military-oriented stance on NATO’s eastern flank have inevitably become a reason for concern for a number of countries in Central and Eastern Europe, particularly those behind the former Iron Curtain under Russia’s sphere of influence. Efforts to connect European infrastructure from north to south may curb Moscow’s influence in the region, and inadvertently boost the collective security of central and east-European states.

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